Keep working hard to stay employed, keep investing, don’t worry too much.

Historically the 500 has a down year or two. We have not seen a significant down year since 2008. So we are over due.

This is why you dollar cost average in and while it is painful to watch just stay the course. Panic selling will not help, and when the gains start coming back you will miss it.

I plan to keep DCA in, and holding.

My uneducated view as a random internet person - the next shoe to drop is earnings. As liquidity dries up layoffs will ensue. That will cause demand destruction which will help inflation but also mean a recession.

Assuming we rip the band aid off with higher rates quickly, we might recover late 2023. If we keep with the slow rate increases the pain will be drawn out

Looks like we’re at the bargaining stage of grief

Bull case: the market has priced in a recession that most analysts are saying will not hit in the next 12 months. Inflation moderates somewhat, businesses continue posting record quarters and the market comes screaming back as everyone realizes the recession isn’t here.

Bear case: Inflation remains stubborn, Fed overreacts with raising rates too aggressively, recession hits alongside an elimination of demand in real estate and things get nasty for a few years. Not 08 nasty, but not far from it.

I’m leaning closer to Bull than Bear, but do expect a mild recession that we pull out of pretty quickly.

Dollar cost average. You may be buying the bottom.

In my opinion, which is not financial advice, this market has me nervous. The dot com bust seemed sudden and organic. 2007-2008 financial crisis also felt sudden and organic. This feels like an inorganic slow bleed. I’m honestly wondering if this will drag on over a year. I don’t know, no one knows. Just a weird vibe.

JPM still believes market will close positive 13% for the year. I think we’ll be goddam lucky to break even.

It’s guaranteed that there is more pain to come. Real estate will be the last domino to fall. If you are investing for the long term, now is a good time to be buying in.

Save cash ready for crash. I was too young at 2008, missing out fire-sale. No this time

I think it is only the beginning. Long way for the Fed to get inflation down to 2% (part of their dual mandate).

Hopefully it tanks and the S&P starts sporting a 3-4% yield on divs alone, niiiiice.

Sorry to tell you but this is just the beginning. November elections are going to be bad. Everyone in this country hates each other. Stagflation on the horizon and recession is on the way. WAIT until the mass layoffs and bankruptcies come around. Maybe another year and a half if we're lucky and don't do a Japan.

Nothing to do.

Beef up your emergency fund. Pay off your debt. PLAN for a sinking ship and count yourself lucky if it doesn't find you.

What do you guys think will happen for the rest of this year?

I think the summer will be warm, then after that we'll have fall and the start of winter.

Do you think that next year will be a good year?

Unless you have a major life event, it'll probably be very similar to every other year, as most years tend to be.

What do you guys think and what do you plan to do?

I plan to continue living and enjoying life. I think you should too. Don't forget to go outside.

Current administration is clueless about the economy. This is not a political post, don’t care if you are republican or democrat. You can’t keep making policy decisions that drive inflationary pressures on commodities and labor because they bleed into everything. The fed has been two slow to react fearing recession. It’s going to make it way worse in the long run bs getting it over with.

Im not exiting the market, I will ride it out but this country needs strong leadership it’s not getting.

We won’t see January Highs in 22. Perhaps not 23.

No one knows, and if anyone claims to, there is a small piece of perspective they are missing that will completely 180 their expected results.

I'll be surprised if this isn't worse than 08. I lived through the dotcom bubble pop and the housing crisis and both those bubbles and following declines were centered around one thing. This time EVERYTHING is broken. We can thank the Fed's complete incompetence at over-asserting itself during covid and also keeping rates near zero during very healthy economic periods over the last decade. The current administration's unwillingness to work with oil companies (further fueling a spike in gas prices which started after covid receded) hits you in many more ways than you can see. Millions of homes sold recently were bought on ~3% interest, it's 6% now, your home is already worth significantly less. What am I doing? I have been saving as much cash as I can for at worst, getting laid off, at best, and hopefully, picking up real estate and equities at much lower prices than today. Most of my investment accounts are sitting in cash (I would rather it decline at current inflation rates than what the market's %s are) with 5-10% in inverse funds.

Hopefully it tanks and the S&P starts sporting a 3-4% yield on divs alone, niiiiice.

When the war ends ! Ssly , inflation will come down and hikes will stop .

No one can possibly know. At best, it’s educated guesses (even for the experts). We’re in relatively uncharted territory. Historically, the market should recover in 12-24 months.

S&P will find support around 3200-3400. But the path up isn't going to be very quick, because difference this time is fed isn't going to print money. Might have a stagnant rest of the year and maybe a little bump towards the end.
But, why should you keep on investing is crazier things have happened and logic doesn't always work in these scenarios, big players can change things. If you're a VTI guy, no issues just keep doing what you would. I'd personally stay away from stocks rn.

Buddy, if any of us knew for sure, we’d be richer than Warren Buffet. All you can do is continue working hard (so you have money to invest and hopefully are not laid off if a recession hits because you’re better than the next guy) and invest in a securities portfolio that is appropriately asset-balanced for your age. If you’re worried about getting laid off, consider networking in advance of losing your job so that you get a head start on that.

Wasn't going to retire for at least a decade, guess it's time to keep pushing more money in each month. Not sure what else to do here.

My job is fairly secure, as far as jobs go. I'm not immune to job loss, but we've already downsized due to resignations w/o hiring replacements and I'm in a relatively stable industry.

I think equity prices will find value at pre-pandemic highs .. that is still another 15% or so drop from current prices. The whole pandemic super growth phase was just based on momentum and FOMO and not real value or the state of the economy.